does it seem reasonable to weight number of male/female at 38/62?

Just a note on the polls here in Massachusetts leading up to Super Duper Tuesday: be wary of them. While I know that this is only anecdotal, a couple of weeks ago when I went to the change my voter registration to my new address in Worcester (the second largest city in Mass), the city clerk told me that there had been a huge influx of people coming in to register, many of them for the first time and a vast majority of them (and this probably isn't surprising) were declaring for the democratic primary (we have a closed system here). The flood really started, he said, after the primaries got under way, but the day I talked to him, he said that he had never had a busier day, and he was around at least as far back as 2002. If this is true around the state, my suspicion is that the polls are probably not taking this into account and that the samples being used are probably not as accurate as one would hope. This will only exacerbates problems with polls like SurveyUSA's, whose sample, for example, only included 9% young voters (18-29). While I don't pretend to know who all of these new registrants will vote for in the primary, given Obama's success in bringing both young and new voters into the process in other states, I would suspect that this trend augurs well for him.